Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. DraftKings Sportsbook: Bet $5+ on any Pre-Game Moneyline and Win $150 Caesars Sportsbook: Your First Cash Bet Is On Caesars Up To $1,250 OHIO ONLY Caesars Sportsbook: First Bet On Caesars up to $1,500 Ben's Discord: Get 50% off your first week of Ben's Insider Access. Interesting week on deck for him.Ben Rasa walks you through golf one and done strategy and tips, including his favorite 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf picks, predictions and best golf bets this week. ![]() His last five starts here have all been top 10s, but despite all of this, it feels a bit like he's coming in under the radar in a big moment where he's unquestionably thrived. Of players in the field with at least 10 rounds played at this course, only two are above 2.0 strokes gained per round, and McIlroy is inching toward 3.0. Additionally, he absolutely destroys at Bay Hill. Three straight top 15s to open up 2022 (two in Europe), and his statistics are off the charts (1.3, 3.0, 2.4 SG respectively). Obviously, there are always questions about McIlroy during the lead in to the Masters, and while he hasn't been featured much, what he's done has been significant thus far. It's already March, and he's played just four rounds on the PGA Tour (T10 at the Genesis Invitational two weeks ago). Rory cruising: We haven't seen much of Rory McIlroy in the United States so far in 2022. This is certainly something to keep in mind when trying to determine a champion and in fact has greatly influenced my picks this week (more on that below).ģ. According to my colleague, Rick Gehman, 35% of shots at Bay Hill come from 200 or more yards (average is about 27%) and 19% come from 200-225 (average is 11%). Because all four of its par 3s are 200 or more yards, it's the rare PGA Tour course that forces you to hit 4- or 5-iron in some uncomfortable situations. Long iron play: In addition to the potential wind and firm conditions we've seen recently at this golf course, Bay Hill's other defense is the demand it places on long iron play. Bay Hill, if it plays fast and firm like it apparently will, is a prime spot to do so.Ģ. Open last year, which discloses how difficult it is to win and how seemingly due he is to doing so. What chance does a below-average player have to compete with this?! The flip side of this statistic is that, you know, Rahm hasn't actually won an event since the U.S. Rahm is gaining four strokes on the third-best ball-striker in this field over his last five tournaments. If you look at the last 20 rounds of ball-striking among players who are in this field, Rahm is peerless. An example of this emerged as I studied some of the numbers going into this week's event, which Rahm has never played. Rahm breakthrough: We talk about it all the time, but I'm not sure we can overstate just how good Jon Rahm has been both in 2022 and over the last few years. Par: 72 | Purse: $12 million Three things to knowġ. Location: Bay Hill Club and Lodge – Orlando, Florida ![]() Event informationĮvent: Arnold Palmer Invitational | Dates: March 3-6 Let's take a closer look at this week's contest with odds provided via Caesars Sportsbook. Bay Hill will be followed by the Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass, and those two events were an unforgettable fortnite a year ago. After a bit of a downturn in the PGA Tour schedule last week at the Honda Classic, this week's Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill represents an intense two-week stretch tantamount to what just played out at the Phoenix Open and Genesis Invitational to close out the West Coast swing.
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